Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 7.727066 8.828309 10.042010 11.480735 13.142102 15.003188 17.250051
2025-08-24 6.109563 7.506982 9.170366 11.303074 13.974796 17.223871 21.494064
2025-08-31 5.120211 6.624538 8.516144 11.082261 14.492607 18.896863 25.060444
2025-09-07 4.670657 6.307390 8.461690 11.525854 15.806474 21.624569 30.217139
2025-09-14 4.222597 5.914086 8.228999 11.658260 16.659959 23.766894 34.769265
2025-09-21 3.814352 5.516430 7.927336 11.629903 17.241690 25.539109 38.941646
2025-09-28 3.447705 5.131753 7.592045 11.495574 17.621855 27.014639 42.788928
2025-10-05 3.268459 5.000969 7.608358 11.877325 18.807238 29.813832 49.015930
2025-10-12 3.091316 4.852118 7.576041 12.168164 19.861652 32.492494 55.334240
2025-10-19 2.961651 4.762724 7.622985 12.581767 21.145131 35.660237 62.839103
2025-10-26 2.701218 4.436656 7.256482 12.266422 21.151607 36.642385 66.556479
2025-11-02 2.499822 4.190045 6.997551 12.105002 21.399778 38.054298 71.198211
2025-11-09 2.316107 3.960722 6.752644 11.952425 21.661402 39.540381 76.211676
2025-11-16 2.145241 3.739261 6.502139 11.764798 21.836500 40.878492 81.092579
2025-11-23 1.985408 3.523695 6.242964 11.534290 21.901454 42.001540 85.655760
2025-11-30 1.940729 3.511859 6.348640 11.997287 23.349544 45.969481 96.620080
2025-12-07 1.854519 3.415833 6.290044 12.135496 24.161394 48.735981 105.343608
2025-12-14 1.753930 3.284500 6.153689 12.105896 24.624152 50.821724 112.809143
2025-12-21 1.648423 3.135485 5.971255 11.965682 24.839022 52.397566 119.297932
2025-12-28 1.612838 3.119979 6.047781 12.364172 26.240916 56.691539 132.716307
2026-01-04 1.568443 3.083280 6.078544 12.667790 27.463430 60.713012 146.007801
2026-01-11 1.539361 3.075097 6.165881 13.099603 29.014214 65.647804 162.238792
2026-01-18 1.437731 2.910071 5.916534 12.770369 28.788510 66.398909 167.846377